Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-2107:10

Phillies

Away

3-4

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	6	0
Nationals	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	4	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 65% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+2pp

7–9 Late

57%

+3pp

F5 first five

56%

-0pp

F9 full game

58%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 579Runs Allowed 534

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 548Runs Allowed 639

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	28% 34/123	26% 32/123	29% 36/123	#232% 39/123	#135% 43/123	29% 36/123	#332% 39/123	22% 27/123	26% 25/96	67% 12/18
Phillies	RA	28% 34/123	24% 29/123	#133% 41/123	#230% 37/123	25% 31/123	24% 29/123	25% 31/123	#330% 37/123	22% 21/94	50% 9/18
Nationals	R	#231% 39/124	#134% 42/124	24% 30/124	#331% 38/124	22% 27/124	25% 31/124	27% 33/124	27% 34/124	26% 26/101	83% 5/6
Nationals	RA	30% 37/124	31% 38/124	#332% 40/124	#238% 47/124	25% 31/124	31% 39/124	#139% 48/124	29% 36/124	28% 27/96	17% 1/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.