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Final
2023-08-2101:40Great American Ball Park
10-3
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays14040000110122
Reds020000100374

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Reds defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Reds offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-2pp
7–9 Late
45%
-8pp
F5 first five
55%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
024487297497716447262643565747554543366543977564853409191710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 550Runs Allowed 495

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
0295988118699416073285693676547762555576547575859847419201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 592Runs Allowed 612
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 29/124#328% 35/12427% 34/12428% 35/124#230% 37/12424% 30/12427% 34/124#133% 41/12425% 24/9653% 9/17
RA27% 33/12423% 28/124#128% 35/12424% 30/12425% 31/12421% 26/12418% 22/124#228% 35/124#328% 28/10159% 10/17
RedsR#332% 40/12427% 34/124#140% 50/12431% 38/124#233% 41/12427% 34/12424% 30/12426% 32/12426% 26/10073% 11/15
RA#139% 48/12429% 36/12431% 38/124#233% 41/12426% 32/12427% 34/124#332% 40/12425% 31/12428% 28/10160% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.