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Final
2023-08-1906:40Great American Ball Park
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Reds
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Reds defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Reds offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 60% · Season 57% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
56%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
024487297497716447262643535447454543366543977564853399191710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 546Runs Allowed 491

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
0295988118699416073285693646247761555576547575859846419201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 588Runs Allowed 608
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 29/122#329% 35/12228% 34/12228% 34/122#230% 36/12225% 30/12228% 34/122#134% 41/12226% 24/9453% 9/17
RA27% 33/12223% 28/122#129% 35/12224% 29/12225% 31/12221% 26/12218% 22/122#229% 35/122#327% 27/9959% 10/17
RedsR#333% 40/12228% 34/122#141% 50/12230% 37/122#234% 41/12228% 34/12225% 30/12226% 32/12226% 25/9873% 11/15
RA#139% 48/12230% 36/12231% 38/122#233% 40/12225% 31/12228% 34/122#333% 40/12225% 31/12228% 28/9960% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.