Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-1902:20Wrigley Field

Royals

Away

4-3

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	4	7	1
Cubs	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Royals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.2

Royals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Cubs defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Cubs offense × Royals defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

70%

+13pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

61%

+8pp

F5 first five

68%

+11pp

F9 full game

64%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 494Runs Allowed 658

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 604Runs Allowed 541

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#230% 37/123	21% 26/123	28% 34/123	#133% 40/123	24% 30/123	#328% 35/123	25% 31/123	28% 34/123	27% 29/107	57% 4/7
Royals	RA	#233% 41/123	31% 38/123	#333% 41/123	33% 41/123	33% 41/123	33% 40/123	24% 29/123	#135% 43/123	24% 20/82	100% 7/7
Cubs	R	27% 32/120	26% 31/120	#135% 42/120	#232% 39/120	28% 34/120	25% 30/120	#329% 35/120	29% 35/120	24% 21/89	44% 4/9
Cubs	RA	#232% 39/120	29% 35/120	#138% 45/120	29% 35/120	25% 30/120	25% 30/120	#331% 37/120	24% 29/120	21% 20/95	44% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.