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Final
2023-08-1708:40Petco Park
2-5
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Orioles scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 38%
Padres scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 31%
Heating upCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Padres defense
39%R 40% · RA 38%
Padres offense × Orioles defense
41%R 50% · RA 31%
Sample 14Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 79% · Season 46% · +33pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
54%
-2pp
F9 full game
56%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
0255176102605917747281713715946163555676695675157839319181110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 582Runs Allowed 521

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
025517710378451525326852346544824955955653637616584531972310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 551Runs Allowed 490
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR24% 29/120#132% 38/120#231% 37/120#331% 37/12031% 37/12027% 32/12023% 28/12024% 29/12028% 25/8969% 11/16
RA#230% 36/12024% 29/120#330% 36/12028% 33/12029% 35/120#131% 37/12026% 31/12029% 35/12019% 20/10344% 7/16
PadresR#233% 40/12023% 28/120#331% 37/12027% 32/120#135% 42/12028% 34/12024% 29/12030% 36/12027% 24/9036% 5/14
RA25% 30/12025% 30/12023% 28/120#127% 32/12025% 30/120#226% 31/120#326% 31/12022% 27/12019% 18/9693% 13/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.