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Final
2023-08-1609:40Petco Park
3-10
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles0000010023111
Padres52003000X10130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Orioles scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 33%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 29%
Heating upCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Padres defense
37%R 40% · RA 33%
Padres offense × Orioles defense
38%R 47% · RA 29%
Sample 15Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 75% · Season 46% · +29pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+0pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
55%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games
0255176102605417745281713715946160554676695675157837319181110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 579Runs Allowed 511

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games
02449749973451505326852346544794955954653637616584529972310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 541Runs Allowed 487
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR24% 29/119#132% 38/119#231% 37/119#331% 37/11931% 37/11926% 31/11924% 28/11924% 29/11927% 24/8869% 11/16
RA#329% 35/11924% 28/119#230% 36/11928% 33/11929% 34/119#131% 37/11926% 31/11929% 35/11919% 20/10344% 7/16
PadresR#233% 39/11923% 27/119#331% 37/11927% 32/119#134% 41/11929% 34/11924% 29/11930% 36/11927% 24/9036% 5/14
RA#325% 30/11925% 30/11924% 28/119#127% 32/11925% 30/11925% 30/119#226% 31/11923% 27/11918% 17/9593% 13/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.