Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-1407:10Citi Field

Braves

Away

6-7

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6	7	1
Mets	0	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	X	7	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mets defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Braves defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 72% · Season 64% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

67%

+10pp

7–9 Late

61%

+8pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

60%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 678Runs Allowed 484

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 500Runs Allowed 557

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#140% 46/116	34% 39/116	34% 39/116	35% 41/116	#237% 43/116	30% 35/115	28% 32/115	#337% 42/115	27% 22/83	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	22% 26/116	21% 24/116	26% 30/116	#134% 40/116	#329% 34/116	28% 32/115	#232% 37/115	25% 29/115	23% 23/98	62% 5/8
Mets	R	20% 23/117	21% 25/117	#333% 39/117	#134% 40/117	29% 34/117	#234% 39/116	27% 31/116	17% 20/116	25% 23/92	88% 7/8
Mets	RA	#140% 47/117	30% 35/117	25% 29/117	23% 27/117	#232% 37/117	28% 33/116	#331% 36/116	31% 36/116	22% 18/81	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.