Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-1106:40Tropicana Field

Cardinals

Away

5-2

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	1	5	11	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.7

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Rays defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Rays offense × Cardinals defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 78% · Season 61% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-5pp

7–9 Late

53%

-1pp

F5 first five

56%

-1pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 533Runs Allowed 561

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 601Runs Allowed 454

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#133% 38/115	#233% 38/115	#332% 37/115	27% 31/115	23% 26/115	30% 34/115	24% 28/115	26% 30/115	30% 28/92	44% 4/9
Cardinals	RA	#334% 39/115	27% 31/115	#235% 40/115	24% 28/115	28% 32/115	30% 35/115	#136% 41/115	23% 27/115	28% 25/88	67% 6/9
Rays	R	#334% 40/116	#135% 41/116	25% 29/116	34% 39/116	29% 34/116	26% 30/116	33% 38/116	#235% 41/116	28% 23/82	50% 3/6
Rays	RA	18% 21/116	26% 30/116	#327% 31/116	#134% 40/116	25% 29/116	24% 28/116	#228% 32/116	21% 24/116	24% 22/92	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.