Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-1007:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

8-2

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	8	11	0
Orioles	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.2

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 73% · Season 52% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+4pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

55%

-2pp

F9 full game

55%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 545Runs Allowed 479

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 560Runs Allowed 486

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#234% 39/114	20% 23/114	25% 28/114	28% 32/114	25% 28/114	24% 27/114	#330% 34/114	27% 31/114	#135% 30/86	57% 8/14
Astros	RA	24% 27/114	25% 29/114	24% 27/114	#131% 35/114	25% 28/114	25% 28/114	24% 27/114	#230% 34/114	#329% 27/94	71% 10/14
Orioles	R	25% 28/113	#133% 37/113	#331% 35/113	31% 35/113	#232% 36/113	26% 29/113	24% 27/113	26% 29/113	27% 22/83	64% 9/14
Orioles	RA	#329% 33/113	23% 26/113	#131% 35/113	28% 32/113	28% 32/113	#231% 35/113	27% 30/113	29% 33/113	17% 17/98	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.