Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0907:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

7-6

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	10	0
Orioles	2	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 10%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.2

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

48%R 50% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 75% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

51%

-2pp

F5 first five

54%

-2pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 538Runs Allowed 473

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 554Runs Allowed 479

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 39/113	20% 23/113	24% 27/113	28% 32/113	25% 28/113	24% 27/113	#330% 34/113	27% 30/113	#234% 29/85	57% 8/14
Astros	RA	23% 26/113	25% 28/113	24% 27/113	#130% 34/113	25% 28/113	25% 28/113	24% 27/113	#230% 34/113	#329% 27/93	71% 10/14
Orioles	R	24% 27/112	#132% 36/112	#331% 35/112	30% 34/112	#232% 36/112	26% 29/112	24% 27/112	26% 29/112	27% 22/82	64% 9/14
Orioles	RA	#329% 33/112	23% 26/112	#230% 34/112	29% 32/112	29% 32/112	#131% 35/112	27% 30/112	29% 32/112	16% 16/97	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.