Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0906:40Tropicana Field

Cardinals

Away

2-4

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	X	4	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Rays defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Rays offense × Cardinals defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

51%

-3pp

F5 first five

56%

-1pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 525Runs Allowed 553

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 593Runs Allowed 446

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#134% 38/113	#232% 36/113	#332% 36/113	27% 30/113	23% 26/113	30% 34/113	24% 27/113	27% 30/113	30% 27/90	44% 4/9
Cardinals	RA	#235% 39/113	27% 30/113	#135% 40/113	24% 27/113	28% 32/113	31% 35/113	#335% 39/113	23% 26/113	29% 25/87	67% 6/9
Rays	R	#135% 40/114	#235% 40/114	25% 29/114	33% 38/114	30% 34/114	26% 30/114	32% 36/114	#335% 40/114	28% 23/81	50% 3/6
Rays	RA	18% 21/114	25% 28/114	#326% 30/114	#134% 39/114	25% 29/114	25% 28/114	#227% 31/114	21% 24/114	23% 21/90	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.