Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0701:40Great American Ball Park

Nationals

Away

6-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	6	10	0
Reds	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.2

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Nationals defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 67% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

70%

+13pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+0pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

62%

+5pp

F9 full game

61%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 481Runs Allowed 567

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 550Runs Allowed 576

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#233% 37/111	#134% 38/111	23% 26/111	#329% 32/111	23% 25/111	24% 27/111	27% 30/111	24% 27/111	25% 23/92	83% 5/6
Nationals	RA	29% 32/111	#332% 36/111	30% 33/111	#139% 43/111	26% 29/111	32% 36/111	#239% 43/111	31% 34/111	29% 25/86	17% 1/6
Reds	R	#234% 38/113	27% 31/113	#142% 47/113	28% 32/113	#334% 38/113	28% 32/113	26% 29/113	27% 30/113	27% 25/91	71% 10/14
Reds	RA	#139% 44/113	30% 34/113	#233% 37/113	#333% 37/113	26% 29/113	29% 33/113	32% 36/113	25% 28/113	30% 27/91	64% 9/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.