Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0701:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Mets

Away

0-2

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	X	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

12%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 10%

Orioles scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Orioles defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Mets defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+3pp

7–9 Late

54%

+1pp

F5 first five

55%

-1pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 480Runs Allowed 513

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 552Runs Allowed 479

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	19% 21/110	23% 25/110	#235% 38/110	#135% 39/110	31% 34/110	#334% 37/109	28% 30/109	17% 18/109	26% 23/87	88% 7/8
Mets	RA	#141% 45/110	30% 33/110	25% 28/110	22% 24/110	29% 32/110	28% 31/109	#230% 33/109	#330% 33/109	20% 15/75	62% 5/8
Orioles	R	24% 27/111	#132% 36/111	#232% 35/111	31% 34/111	#332% 35/111	26% 29/111	23% 26/111	26% 29/111	27% 22/82	64% 9/14
Orioles	RA	#330% 33/111	23% 26/111	#231% 34/111	29% 32/111	29% 32/111	#132% 35/111	27% 30/111	29% 32/111	17% 16/96	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.