Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0607:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Mets

Away

3-7

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	7	0
Orioles	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	X	7	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Orioles defense

20%R 15% · RA 25%

Orioles offense × Mets defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 60% · Season 55% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-1pp

7–9 Late

54%

+1pp

F5 first five

53%

-3pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 477Runs Allowed 506

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 545Runs Allowed 476

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	19% 21/109	23% 25/109	#135% 38/109	#235% 38/109	31% 34/109	#333% 36/108	28% 30/108	17% 18/108	27% 23/86	88% 7/8
Mets	RA	#140% 44/109	#330% 33/109	25% 27/109	21% 23/109	28% 31/109	28% 30/108	#231% 33/108	30% 32/108	20% 15/75	62% 5/8
Orioles	R	24% 26/110	#133% 36/110	#231% 34/110	30% 33/110	#331% 34/110	25% 28/110	24% 26/110	25% 28/110	27% 22/82	64% 9/14
Orioles	RA	#330% 33/110	24% 26/110	#131% 34/110	28% 31/110	29% 32/110	#231% 34/110	27% 30/110	29% 32/110	17% 16/95	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.