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Final
2023-08-0506:40Great American Ball Park
6-3
Reds
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Team12345678910RHE
Nationals0000010203671
Reds2010000000370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 10%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Reds offense × Nationals defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 63% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-0pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games
0244973986954169522435634771439775526065178746628434999210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 468Runs Allowed 561

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
0265278105638415570280683515647459550536536875352846399191410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 544Runs Allowed 563
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#233% 36/109#134% 37/10924% 26/109#328% 31/10923% 25/10923% 25/10928% 30/10924% 26/10924% 22/9080% 4/5
RA28% 31/109#333% 36/10929% 32/109#139% 43/10927% 29/10932% 35/109#239% 43/10931% 34/10930% 25/8420% 1/5
RedsR#333% 37/11128% 31/111#141% 46/11129% 32/111#234% 38/11128% 31/11126% 29/11127% 30/11128% 25/8977% 10/13
RA#139% 43/11130% 33/111#233% 37/111#332% 36/11126% 29/11128% 31/11132% 36/11124% 27/11129% 26/8962% 8/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.