Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0502:20Wrigley Field

Braves

Away

8-0

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	0	0	8	11	0
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cubs scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Cubs defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Cubs offense × Braves defense

48%R 50% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp

Last 20 85% · Season 63% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

70%

+14pp

7–9 Late

58%

+4pp

F5 first five

66%

+10pp

F9 full game

64%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 601Runs Allowed 442

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 560Runs Allowed 481

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#141% 43/106	33% 35/106	32% 34/106	34% 36/106	#337% 39/106	28% 29/105	28% 29/105	#237% 39/105	22% 16/73	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	23% 24/106	23% 24/106	25% 27/106	#134% 36/106	29% 31/106	#330% 31/105	#231% 33/105	27% 28/105	25% 23/92	62% 5/8
Cubs	R	25% 27/109	28% 30/109	#137% 40/109	#231% 34/109	28% 30/109	28% 30/109	29% 32/109	#330% 33/109	22% 18/80	44% 4/9
Cubs	RA	#233% 36/109	29% 32/109	#138% 41/109	28% 30/109	25% 27/109	23% 25/109	#331% 34/109	24% 26/109	21% 18/87	44% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.