Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-08-0407:45Busch Stadium

Twins

Away

5-3

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	7	0
Cardinals	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Twins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.5

Twins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Cardinals offense × Twins defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 62% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

65%

+9pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

61%

+4pp

F9 full game

61%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 476Runs Allowed 445

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 512Runs Allowed 536

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	#328% 30/109	22% 24/109	#229% 32/109	28% 30/109	25% 27/109	28% 30/109	#130% 33/109	23% 25/109	23% 20/87	68% 15/22
Twins	RA	24% 26/109	24% 26/109	#328% 31/109	28% 30/109	22% 24/109	22% 24/109	#129% 32/109	21% 23/109	#229% 24/84	45% 10/22
Cardinals	R	#135% 38/109	#330% 33/109	#232% 35/109	27% 29/109	22% 24/109	29% 32/109	24% 26/109	28% 30/109	30% 26/87	44% 4/9
Cardinals	RA	#235% 38/109	26% 28/109	#335% 38/109	24% 26/109	28% 31/109	31% 34/109	#136% 39/109	23% 25/109	29% 24/83	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.