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Final
2023-08-0308:05Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
6-16
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Reds210200100694
Cubs00212542X16160

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.7
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 75% · Season 63% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
70%
+13pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-2pp
7–9 Late
53%
+0pp
F5 first five
64%
+7pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games
0265278104608315470280633485547457550486526475249846399191410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 535Runs Allowed 542

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
02653801074655160582857135244457555594765855783488353494510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 539Runs Allowed 472
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR#332% 35/10928% 30/109#142% 46/10928% 30/109#235% 38/10928% 31/10926% 28/10927% 29/10929% 25/8777% 10/13
RA#139% 42/10930% 33/109#232% 35/109#332% 35/10926% 28/10928% 30/10932% 35/10923% 25/10929% 26/8962% 8/13
CubsR24% 26/10728% 30/107#136% 38/107#231% 33/10727% 29/10727% 29/107#329% 31/10729% 31/10722% 18/8044% 4/9
RA#232% 34/10729% 31/107#138% 41/10726% 28/10725% 27/10723% 25/107#331% 33/10723% 25/10721% 18/8544% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.