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Final
2023-07-3101:40Citi Field
2-5
Mets
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Nationals100000100260
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
60%
+7pp
F5 first five
57%
+1pp
F9 full game
59%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
0244872976853165502425234766438775525864676746628414999210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 454Runs Allowed 545

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

104 games
02346699232731406026849366424646555453651477275484622913910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 461Runs Allowed 474
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#133% 35/105#233% 35/10524% 25/105#330% 31/10523% 24/10524% 25/10526% 27/10525% 26/10524% 21/8780% 4/5
RA29% 30/105#332% 34/10529% 30/105#139% 41/10528% 29/10531% 33/105#239% 41/10532% 34/10531% 25/8120% 1/5
MetsR19% 20/10423% 24/104#136% 37/104#236% 37/10433% 34/104#334% 35/10329% 30/10316% 16/10327% 22/8286% 6/7
RA#139% 41/104#231% 32/10425% 26/10421% 22/104#329% 30/10428% 29/10328% 29/10328% 29/10321% 15/7357% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.