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Final
2023-07-3007:10Citi Field
11-6
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals41300000311120
Mets0101200026103

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 60%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 62% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
58%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

104 games
0234771956453164492395234765438755525864676746628384799210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 443Runs Allowed 539

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

103 games
02143658732691395926846365424626555453651477275484419913910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 455Runs Allowed 463
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#133% 34/104#233% 34/10423% 24/104#330% 31/10423% 24/10424% 25/10426% 27/10425% 26/10423% 20/8680% 4/5
RA29% 30/10432% 33/10429% 30/104#238% 40/10427% 28/10432% 33/104#139% 41/104#333% 34/10430% 24/8020% 1/5
MetsR19% 20/10322% 23/103#136% 37/103#235% 36/10332% 33/103#334% 35/10229% 30/10216% 16/10226% 21/8186% 6/7
RA#139% 40/103#230% 31/10324% 25/10321% 22/103#329% 30/10328% 29/10228% 29/10228% 29/10219% 14/7257% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.