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Final
2023-07-2907:10Citi Field
1-5
Mets
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Nationals000000100181
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 60%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 60% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+5pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
57%
+0pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

103 games
0234669936453164492395234765438725525864574746628384799210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 442Runs Allowed 534

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

102 games
02143658732691395926846365424596555453649467275484419913910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 450Runs Allowed 462
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#133% 34/103#233% 34/10323% 24/103#330% 31/10323% 24/10324% 25/10325% 26/10325% 26/10324% 20/8580% 4/5
RA29% 30/10332% 33/10329% 30/103#139% 40/10326% 27/10332% 33/103#239% 40/103#333% 34/10330% 24/8020% 1/5
MetsR20% 20/10223% 23/102#136% 37/102#235% 36/10231% 32/102#335% 35/10129% 29/10116% 16/10126% 21/8186% 6/7
RA#139% 40/102#230% 31/10225% 25/10222% 22/102#329% 30/10229% 29/10128% 28/10129% 29/10120% 14/7157% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.