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Final
2023-07-2704:10Petco Park
3-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Pirates defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+7pp
7–9 Late
53%
+0pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
56%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

101 games
02347709440751544724463363384435354851659637316282926971410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 418Runs Allowed 492

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

102 games
02346699267381444525249340434734155044650577515082922972210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 463Runs Allowed 411
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR24% 24/101#133% 33/10125% 25/101#328% 28/10121% 21/101#230% 30/10124% 24/10119% 19/10121% 17/8071% 5/7
RA#139% 39/10125% 25/101#330% 30/10124% 24/10127% 27/10129% 29/10129% 29/101#232% 32/10118% 13/7486% 6/7
PadresR#234% 35/10225% 25/10228% 29/10227% 28/102#137% 38/10227% 28/10225% 26/102#331% 32/10222% 17/7738% 5/13
RA24% 24/10225% 25/102#325% 26/102#127% 28/10225% 25/10225% 25/102#227% 28/10222% 22/10215% 12/8292% 12/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.