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Final
2023-07-2402:20Wrigley Field
2-7
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals000001010291
Cubs20500000X770

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 80% · Season 70% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
66%
+13pp
F5 first five
60%
+3pp
F9 full game
62%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

99 games
02142638557681565326661353394454955462637637594083643971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 470Runs Allowed 489

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

98 games
0234771953650152502706734539449535564465053776458343094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 472Runs Allowed 436
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#134% 34/9930% 30/99#231% 31/9927% 27/9923% 23/9929% 29/9925% 25/9927% 27/99#330% 24/7944% 4/9
RA#135% 35/9927% 27/99#234% 34/9924% 24/9929% 29/9930% 30/99#333% 33/9924% 24/9929% 22/7567% 6/9
CubsR23% 23/9827% 26/98#134% 33/98#230% 29/9827% 26/9828% 27/9828% 27/98#329% 28/9823% 17/7344% 4/9
RA#331% 30/9828% 27/98#140% 39/9827% 26/9826% 25/9823% 23/98#233% 32/9823% 23/9822% 17/7744% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.