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Final
2023-07-2302:20Wrigley Field
6-8
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals1020210006100
Cubs01202300X8151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
67%
+14pp
F5 first five
59%
+2pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

98 games
02142638556681565226459353394434755359637637594083643971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 464Runs Allowed 481

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
0234771953649151502686534539447515534365053776458343094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 464Runs Allowed 430
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#134% 33/98#331% 30/9831% 30/9828% 27/9822% 22/9829% 28/9826% 25/9828% 27/98#231% 24/7844% 4/9
RA#136% 35/9827% 26/98#234% 33/9824% 24/9829% 28/9830% 29/98#334% 33/9824% 24/9829% 22/7567% 6/9
CubsR24% 23/9726% 25/97#133% 32/97#230% 29/9726% 25/9727% 26/9728% 27/97#329% 28/9723% 17/7344% 4/9
RA#330% 29/9728% 27/97#139% 38/9727% 26/9725% 24/9723% 22/97#233% 32/9724% 23/9722% 17/7644% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.