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Final
2023-07-2202:20Wrigley Field
3-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals010000200370
Cubs00400000X491

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
66%
+13pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
62%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
02142638556681555226455353394434755359635637594083643971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 461Runs Allowed 477

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games
0234771953649151492646534539447515534365051776458343094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 460Runs Allowed 427
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#134% 33/9730% 29/97#331% 30/9728% 27/9723% 22/9729% 28/9725% 24/9728% 27/97#231% 24/7744% 4/9
RA#136% 35/9727% 26/97#333% 32/9725% 24/9729% 28/9730% 29/97#234% 33/9725% 24/9729% 22/7567% 6/9
CubsR24% 23/9626% 25/96#132% 31/96#230% 29/9626% 25/9627% 26/9628% 27/96#329% 28/9623% 17/7344% 4/9
RA#330% 29/9627% 26/96#140% 38/9627% 26/9625% 24/9623% 22/96#232% 31/9624% 23/9623% 17/7544% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.