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Final
2023-07-2008:05Wrigley Field
3-8
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals0100000203100
Cubs10010015X8110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 51% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+11pp
7–9 Late
55%
+2pp
F5 first five
64%
+8pp
F9 full game
62%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
0224567906051155452374634062436725515564370737528324599210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 400Runs Allowed 500

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
0224466893548151482646534335447495534364851771438343094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 450Runs Allowed 417
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 32/95#232% 30/9523% 22/95#329% 28/9523% 22/9525% 24/9525% 24/9524% 23/9522% 18/8180% 4/5
RA29% 28/95#333% 31/9527% 26/95#140% 38/9528% 27/9533% 31/95#239% 37/9532% 30/9531% 23/7420% 1/5
CubsR23% 22/9427% 25/94#133% 31/94#229% 27/9427% 25/9428% 26/9427% 25/94#329% 27/9424% 17/7244% 4/9
RA#330% 28/9427% 25/94#140% 38/9427% 25/9424% 23/9423% 22/94#233% 31/9423% 22/9423% 17/7344% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.