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Final
2023-07-1908:05Wrigley Field
3-17
Cubs
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Nationals120000000391
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 75% · Season 52% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+11pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
64%
+7pp
F9 full game
62%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
0224567905951153452374634061436725515364364737448324599210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 397Runs Allowed 483

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
0204161823547151462646534235447495514364251763438343094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 433Runs Allowed 414
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#133% 31/94#231% 29/9423% 22/94#330% 28/9423% 22/9426% 24/9426% 24/9424% 23/9422% 18/8080% 4/5
RA30% 28/94#333% 31/9428% 26/94#139% 37/9429% 27/9432% 30/94#238% 36/9431% 29/9431% 23/7420% 1/5
CubsR24% 22/9327% 25/93#133% 31/93#228% 26/9327% 25/9327% 25/9326% 24/93#328% 26/9324% 17/7244% 4/9
RA#329% 27/9326% 24/93#141% 38/9327% 25/9325% 23/9324% 22/93#233% 31/9324% 22/9324% 17/7244% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.