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Final
2023-07-1702:20Wrigley Field
11-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +32pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Red Sox defense
50%R 60% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +32pp
Last 20 90% · Season 66% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
62%
+5pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
0214263844660151432584235160448625675265440754398253099910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 463Runs Allowed 437

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games
0204161823544150462646534233447445494264046760418323094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 423Runs Allowed 396
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#331% 29/9325% 23/9330% 28/93#233% 31/9330% 28/93#144% 41/9330% 28/9330% 28/9324% 17/7183% 5/6
RA#332% 30/9331% 29/9327% 25/93#135% 33/93#235% 33/9332% 30/9325% 23/9326% 24/9323% 17/7383% 5/6
CubsR24% 22/9126% 24/91#134% 31/91#229% 26/91#327% 25/9126% 24/9125% 23/9127% 25/9123% 16/7044% 4/9
RA#327% 25/9126% 24/91#142% 38/9126% 24/9124% 22/9123% 21/91#232% 29/9123% 21/9124% 17/7044% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.