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Final
2023-07-1602:20Wrigley Field
4-10
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Cubs defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Red Sox defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 88% · Season 66% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
56%
+3pp
F5 first five
62%
+5pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
0214263844660151432583635058448625675265238753398253099910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 459Runs Allowed 427

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games
0204161823544150462586534032447445494263844760408323094510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 413Runs Allowed 392
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#332% 29/9225% 23/9230% 28/92#233% 30/9230% 28/92#145% 41/9229% 27/9229% 27/9224% 17/7083% 5/6
RA#333% 30/9232% 29/9226% 24/92#235% 32/92#136% 33/9233% 30/9224% 22/9226% 24/9223% 17/7383% 5/6
CubsR24% 22/9027% 24/90#133% 30/90#228% 25/90#328% 25/9027% 24/9024% 22/9028% 25/9023% 16/7044% 4/9
RA#328% 25/9027% 24/90#142% 38/9026% 23/9024% 22/9023% 21/90#231% 28/9022% 20/9025% 17/6944% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.