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Final
2023-07-1508:05Wrigley Field
8-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Red Sox defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games
0214263844660149432563534957448625675165038753398243099910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 451Runs Allowed 424

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
0193959793544150442576333931447445484263842760408322994510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 410Runs Allowed 384
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#232% 29/9124% 22/9130% 27/91#332% 29/9131% 28/91#145% 41/9129% 26/9130% 27/9123% 16/6983% 5/6
RA#333% 30/9132% 29/9125% 23/91#234% 31/91#136% 33/9132% 29/9124% 22/9126% 24/9124% 17/7283% 5/6
CubsR25% 22/8927% 24/89#133% 29/8927% 24/89#228% 25/8926% 23/8925% 22/89#328% 25/8923% 16/6944% 4/9
RA#328% 25/8926% 23/89#142% 37/8925% 22/8925% 22/8924% 21/89#230% 27/8922% 20/8924% 16/6844% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.