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Final
2023-07-1004:10Petco Park
Mets
Away
2-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
35%R 20% · RA 50%
Padres offense × Mets defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
56%
-1pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01939587826621385226140353414575754744648337225083914912910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 403Runs Allowed 402

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01836547356361394024144338394583354735645507414382420962010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 395Runs Allowed 360
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR20% 18/8925% 22/89#137% 33/89#335% 31/8934% 30/89#235% 31/8832% 28/8815% 13/8827% 19/7183% 5/6
RA#139% 35/89#229% 26/8925% 22/8924% 21/89#329% 26/8927% 24/8825% 22/8828% 25/8818% 11/6267% 4/6
PadresR#233% 29/8926% 23/8928% 25/89#329% 26/89#135% 31/8928% 25/8925% 22/8929% 26/8921% 14/6640% 4/10
RA25% 22/8925% 22/89#227% 24/89#128% 25/8924% 21/8924% 21/89#327% 24/8921% 19/8915% 11/73100% 10/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.