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Final
2023-07-1001:40Comerica Park
4-3
Tigers
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Team12345678910RHE
Blue Jays0000001021450
Tigers01101000003110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Tigers scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Tigers scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Tigers scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-9pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
46%
-10pp
F9 full game
47%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games
019395878446214436247513413945240531306372675253844229141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 406Runs Allowed 373

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
018375675403513560254443335443641533516324874350822359151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 343Runs Allowed 428
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 25/9027% 24/90#229% 26/90#329% 26/9029% 26/9023% 21/9027% 24/90#131% 28/9025% 18/7150% 6/12
RA#327% 24/9022% 20/90#130% 27/9024% 22/9024% 22/9023% 21/9018% 16/90#230% 27/9026% 18/7067% 8/12
TigersR#324% 21/8822% 19/88#132% 28/8820% 18/8823% 20/8823% 20/8822% 19/88#227% 24/8819% 14/7350% 8/16
RA24% 21/88#233% 29/88#328% 25/88#136% 32/8823% 20/8827% 24/8824% 21/8828% 25/8828% 19/6950% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.