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Final
2023-07-0910:10Petco Park
Mets
Away
1-3
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Mets000000100132
Padres03000000X351

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mets defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+7pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
58%
+1pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
01939587826621384926140353414575754744647337225083914912910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 402Runs Allowed 399

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
01836547356361364024144338394583354735645497414382420962010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 392Runs Allowed 359
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR20% 18/8825% 22/88#138% 33/88#335% 31/8834% 30/88#236% 31/8731% 27/8715% 13/8727% 19/7083% 5/6
RA#140% 35/8828% 25/8825% 22/8824% 21/88#230% 26/8828% 24/8725% 22/87#329% 25/8718% 11/6267% 4/6
PadresR#233% 29/8825% 22/8828% 25/88#330% 26/88#135% 31/8828% 25/8825% 22/8830% 26/8821% 14/6640% 4/10
RA25% 22/8825% 22/88#227% 24/88#128% 25/8824% 21/8824% 21/88#326% 23/8822% 19/8815% 11/72100% 10/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.