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Final
2023-07-0901:10Comerica Park
0-2
Tigers
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000000000000
Tigers20000000X250

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Tigers scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Tigers scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Tigers scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-6pp
7–9 Late
46%
-7pp
F5 first five
49%
-8pp
F9 full game
50%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
018375675446014436247513413945240531306372675253844229141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 406Runs Allowed 371

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
018375675383513560254443335443641533516324874350822359151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 341Runs Allowed 428
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 25/8927% 24/89#229% 26/89#329% 26/8929% 26/8924% 21/8927% 24/89#131% 28/8926% 18/7050% 6/12
RA#326% 23/8922% 20/89#130% 27/8925% 22/8925% 22/8924% 21/8918% 16/89#230% 27/8926% 18/7067% 8/12
TigersR#323% 20/8722% 19/87#132% 28/8721% 18/8723% 20/8723% 20/8722% 19/87#228% 24/8719% 14/7350% 8/16
RA24% 21/87#233% 29/87#329% 25/87#137% 32/8723% 20/8728% 24/8724% 21/8729% 25/8728% 19/6850% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.