Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-07-0808:10

Mariners

Away

10-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	1	10	13	1
Astros	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Mariners scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 31%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-3pp

7–9 Late

61%

+8pp

F5 first five

56%

-1pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 389Runs Allowed 363

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 412Runs Allowed 353

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#129% 25/86	#229% 25/86	26% 22/86	28% 24/86	26% 22/86	24% 21/86	24% 21/86	#329% 25/86	23% 15/64	41% 7/17
Mariners	RA	#231% 27/86	26% 22/86	#133% 28/86	21% 18/86	28% 24/86	#329% 25/86	26% 22/86	21% 18/86	22% 15/67	59% 10/17
Astros	R	#135% 31/88	19% 17/88	23% 20/88	#332% 28/88	24% 21/88	17% 15/88	30% 26/88	28% 25/88	#235% 23/66	62% 8/13
Astros	RA	20% 18/88	24% 21/88	26% 23/88	#228% 25/88	26% 23/88	25% 22/88	24% 21/88	#133% 29/88	#326% 19/72	69% 9/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.