Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-07-0806:40Tropicana Field

Braves

Away

2-1

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0
Rays	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

52%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 50%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.2

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.7

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Rays defense

52%R 55% · RA 50%

Rays offense × Braves defense

25%R 20% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 57% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

68%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-2pp

7–9 Late

53%

-0pp

F5 first five

65%

+8pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 487Runs Allowed 340

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 494Runs Allowed 345

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#143% 37/86	36% 31/86	33% 28/86	34% 29/86	#337% 32/86	26% 22/85	26% 22/85	#241% 35/85	22% 13/60	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	20% 17/86	23% 20/86	27% 23/86	#231% 27/86	#330% 26/86	25% 21/85	#135% 30/85	21% 18/85	26% 20/76	62% 5/8
Rays	R	#334% 31/90	#236% 32/90	27% 24/90	#137% 33/90	33% 30/90	27% 24/90	31% 28/90	34% 31/90	30% 18/60	60% 3/5
Rays	RA	20% 18/90	23% 21/90	#228% 25/90	#131% 28/90	26% 23/90	22% 20/90	#327% 24/90	23% 21/90	24% 17/72	40% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.