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Final
2023-07-0806:40Comerica Park
12-2
Tigers
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays00160000512140
Tigers001000010271

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Tigers scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Tigers scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Tigers scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 15% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 65% · Season 49% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-5pp
7–9 Late
45%
-8pp
F5 first five
48%
-9pp
F9 full game
49%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
018375675446014436246503353945240531306372675252839229141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 394Runs Allowed 369

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
018375675383513560253433334843641533516324874250822309151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 339Runs Allowed 416
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#328% 25/8827% 24/8828% 25/8828% 25/88#230% 26/8824% 21/8827% 24/88#132% 28/8825% 17/6950% 6/12
RA#326% 23/8823% 20/88#130% 26/8825% 22/8825% 22/8824% 21/8818% 16/88#230% 26/8826% 18/6967% 8/12
TigersR#323% 20/8622% 19/86#131% 27/8621% 18/8623% 20/8623% 20/8622% 19/86#227% 23/8619% 14/7250% 8/16
RA24% 21/86#234% 29/8628% 24/86#136% 31/8623% 20/8628% 24/8624% 21/86#329% 25/8627% 18/6750% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.