Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-07-0504:10Tropicana Field

Phillies

Away

3-1

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	6	1
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Rays defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Rays offense × Phillies defense

30%R 15% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-4pp

7–9 Late

45%

-8pp

F5 first five

60%

+2pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 377Runs Allowed 371

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 488Runs Allowed 331

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#231% 26/83	28% 23/83	#331% 26/83	31% 26/83	#136% 30/83	23% 19/83	30% 25/83	22% 18/83	26% 17/66	75% 6/8
Phillies	RA	28% 23/83	19% 16/83	#134% 28/83	#230% 25/83	#329% 24/83	22% 18/83	25% 21/83	29% 24/83	21% 13/61	38% 3/8
Rays	R	#334% 30/87	#236% 31/87	26% 23/87	#138% 33/87	33% 29/87	28% 24/87	32% 28/87	34% 30/87	32% 18/57	100% 3/3
Rays	RA	21% 18/87	22% 19/87	#228% 24/87	#132% 28/87	24% 21/87	22% 19/87	#325% 22/87	23% 20/87	25% 17/69	33% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.