Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-07-0501:05Yankee Stadium

Orioles

Away

4-8

Yankees

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	7	1
Yankees	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	1	X	8	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.8

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Yankees defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Yankees offense × Orioles defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 62% · Season 48% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-1pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

58%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 394Runs Allowed 377

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 378Runs Allowed 343

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	22% 18/83	29% 24/83	#135% 29/83	#330% 25/83	#231% 26/83	25% 21/83	24% 20/83	27% 22/83	25% 15/61	58% 7/12
Orioles	RA	#134% 28/83	25% 21/83	#234% 28/83	27% 22/83	#330% 25/83	29% 24/83	28% 23/83	29% 24/83	18% 13/72	58% 7/12
Yankees	R	28% 24/85	18% 15/85	22% 19/85	27% 23/85	#331% 26/85	26% 22/85	#232% 27/85	22% 19/85	#142% 27/64	45% 5/11
Yankees	RA	#129% 25/85	24% 20/85	#327% 23/85	24% 20/85	25% 21/85	27% 23/85	#228% 24/85	21% 18/85	11% 8/70	55% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.