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Final
2023-07-0305:05Wrigley Field
8-6
Cubs
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Guardians00213000028101
Cubs0000100140682

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Guardians scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.5
Guardians scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.6
Guardians scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Guardians defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-0pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
57%
+0pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
013274155394312529228403384143840544436442973639818179181710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 328Runs Allowed 338

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
0173451693542145432505533930442345463663438751358242793310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 369Runs Allowed 343
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR#229% 24/8222% 18/8217% 14/8226% 21/82#327% 22/8222% 18/82#132% 26/8221% 17/8220% 13/6667% 12/18
RA#230% 25/8218% 15/8223% 19/8224% 20/82#329% 24/82#132% 26/8222% 18/8224% 20/8221% 14/6667% 12/18
CubsR#327% 22/8126% 21/81#130% 24/81#230% 24/8126% 21/8127% 22/8125% 20/8125% 20/8121% 13/6150% 3/6
RA#328% 23/8127% 22/81#141% 33/8126% 21/8122% 18/8122% 18/81#231% 25/8121% 17/8124% 15/6350% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.