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Final
2023-06-3008:05Wrigley Field
3-1
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Phillies102000000372
Cubs010000000170

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 78% · Season 67% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+1pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
58%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
0153146624843130342444834249441405362964245731448302096710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 350Runs Allowed 359

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
0163248643541144432485133530442345433263338751358242693310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 358Runs Allowed 333
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#330% 24/7927% 21/7930% 24/79#232% 25/79#137% 29/7924% 19/7930% 24/7923% 18/7927% 17/6375% 6/8
RA29% 23/7916% 13/79#134% 27/79#232% 25/7928% 22/7923% 18/7927% 21/79#330% 24/7923% 13/5738% 3/8
CubsR#328% 22/7826% 20/78#129% 23/78#229% 23/7827% 21/7827% 21/7824% 19/7826% 20/7822% 13/5950% 3/6
RA#328% 22/7828% 22/78#140% 31/7827% 21/7823% 18/7822% 17/78#232% 25/7822% 17/7823% 14/6050% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.