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Final
2023-06-2908:05Wrigley Field
8-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 78% · Season 66% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
56%
-2pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
0153045604843125342444734048440385362964245731448301996710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 342Runs Allowed 354

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
0163248643541144382475133428440335433263338751358232693310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 353Runs Allowed 325
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#231% 24/7826% 20/78#331% 24/7831% 24/78#136% 28/7824% 19/7831% 24/7823% 18/7827% 17/6275% 6/8
RA29% 23/7817% 13/78#133% 26/78#231% 24/7827% 21/7823% 18/7827% 21/78#331% 24/7821% 12/5638% 3/8
CubsR#129% 22/7726% 20/77#229% 22/77#329% 22/7726% 20/7727% 21/7725% 19/7726% 20/7721% 12/5850% 3/6
RA#329% 22/7727% 21/77#140% 31/7726% 20/7722% 17/7722% 17/77#232% 25/7722% 17/7724% 14/5950% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.