Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-2904:10T-Mobile Park

Nationals

Away

4-1

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	8	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 23%

Mariners scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Mariners scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mariners defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Mariners offense × Nationals defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 63% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-0pp

7–9 Late

59%

+7pp

F5 first five

61%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 329Runs Allowed 394

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 352Runs Allowed 327

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#133% 26/79	#232% 25/79	23% 18/79	#330% 24/79	19% 15/79	22% 17/79	25% 20/79	27% 21/79	25% 17/67	67% 2/3
Nationals	RA	30% 24/79	32% 25/79	29% 23/79	#239% 31/79	27% 21/79	29% 23/79	#141% 32/79	27% 21/79	#337% 23/62	0% 0/3
Mariners	R	#131% 24/78	26% 20/78	23% 18/78	#229% 23/78	#328% 22/78	23% 18/78	22% 17/78	28% 22/78	22% 13/58	41% 7/17
Mariners	RA	#232% 25/78	27% 21/78	#133% 26/78	21% 16/78	#328% 22/78	28% 22/78	27% 21/78	21% 16/78	22% 13/60	59% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.