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Final
2023-06-2808:05Wrigley Field
5-1
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 67% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
55%
-2pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
0153045604743124342444734048437385362964245731438301996710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 337Runs Allowed 353

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
0163248643540144372475133428440305433263338750358232693310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 352Runs Allowed 320
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR30% 23/7725% 19/77#231% 24/77#331% 24/77#135% 27/7725% 19/7731% 24/7723% 18/7728% 17/6175% 6/8
RA#330% 23/7717% 13/77#134% 26/77#231% 24/7727% 21/7723% 18/7727% 21/7730% 23/7722% 12/5538% 3/8
CubsR#129% 22/7626% 20/76#229% 22/76#329% 22/7626% 20/7628% 21/7625% 19/7625% 19/7621% 12/5750% 3/6
RA#328% 21/7626% 20/76#141% 31/7626% 20/7621% 16/7622% 17/76#233% 25/7622% 17/7624% 14/5850% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.