Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-2807:10Citi Field

Brewers

Away

2-7

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Brewers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7	0
Mets	0	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	X	7	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Brewers scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 60%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Brewers scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Brewers scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Mets defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Mets offense × Brewers defense

40%R 60% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 62% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

44%

-8pp

F5 first five

59%

+1pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 314Runs Allowed 334

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 349Runs Allowed 368

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Brewers	R	#132% 25/78	22% 17/78	#232% 25/78	22% 17/78	24% 19/78	19% 15/78	#326% 20/78	17% 13/78	19% 11/59	75% 6/8
Brewers	RA	#228% 22/78	#328% 22/78	#129% 23/78	21% 16/78	19% 15/78	23% 18/78	26% 20/78	27% 21/78	22% 13/60	38% 3/8
Mets	R	19% 15/78	26% 20/78	#236% 28/78	#333% 26/78	32% 25/78	#136% 28/77	32% 25/77	14% 11/77	27% 17/63	80% 4/5
Mets	RA	#141% 32/78	#329% 23/78	27% 21/78	26% 20/78	#231% 24/78	29% 22/77	23% 18/77	29% 22/77	19% 10/52	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.