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Final
2023-06-2604:10Petco Park
8-3
Padres
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Nationals1000025008111
Padres000010101382

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
59%
+2pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
0173451694540145342283633545422505384263155734338294493 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 310Runs Allowed 379

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
01836547250321293623939334354573153427633287344182116911110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 332Runs Allowed 296
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#330% 23/76#132% 24/7622% 17/76#232% 24/7618% 14/7621% 16/7624% 18/7626% 20/7625% 16/64100% 1/1
RA29% 22/7633% 25/7630% 23/76#238% 29/7625% 19/7630% 23/76#139% 30/7626% 20/76#337% 22/600% 0/1
PadresR#234% 26/7725% 19/77#330% 23/7730% 23/77#139% 30/7723% 18/7722% 17/7727% 21/7719% 11/5814% 1/7
RA25% 19/77#226% 20/77#326% 20/77#129% 22/7725% 19/7721% 16/7719% 15/7723% 18/7715% 10/65100% 7/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.