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Final
2023-06-2409:40Petco Park
Nationals
Away
3-13
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals0000010023100
Padres10006042X13150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-1pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
62%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games
0163248644439145342273633545422445374263151734318274493 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 305Runs Allowed 366

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
01632486449311293623938334354513153426629287324182114911110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 319Runs Allowed 291
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#330% 22/74#132% 24/7422% 16/74#232% 24/7419% 14/7420% 15/7424% 18/7427% 20/7424% 15/62100% 1/1
RA28% 21/7434% 25/7431% 23/74#139% 29/7424% 18/7431% 23/74#239% 29/7426% 19/74#337% 22/590% 0/1
PadresR#233% 25/7525% 19/75#331% 23/7531% 23/75#139% 29/7524% 18/7521% 16/7527% 20/7519% 11/5714% 1/7
RA24% 18/75#227% 20/75#325% 19/75#129% 22/7525% 19/7520% 15/7520% 15/7524% 18/7514% 9/63100% 7/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.