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Final
2023-06-2200:10Tropicana Field
2-7
Rays
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Orioles001000001242
Rays04000021X7100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cooling downCombined vs league -5pp
#3
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 64% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
56%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games
01734516930381451925551344364354553139650387342982416910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 358Runs Allowed 318

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
0204161824722153272423235535465455503164125740238243794310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 421Runs Allowed 280
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR24% 17/7228% 20/72#233% 24/72#135% 25/72#332% 23/7226% 19/7225% 18/7228% 20/7226% 14/5360% 6/10
RA#135% 25/7222% 16/72#235% 25/7225% 18/72#332% 23/7229% 21/7229% 21/7226% 19/7219% 12/6360% 6/10
RaysR#334% 26/7634% 26/7626% 20/76#141% 31/76#236% 27/7629% 22/7633% 25/7634% 26/7633% 16/49100% 3/3
RA21% 16/7621% 16/7621% 16/76#132% 24/76#228% 21/7620% 15/7624% 18/7622% 17/76#325% 15/6133% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.