Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-2008:10

Mets

Away

11-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	5	0	0	1	0	0	5	11	14	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.9

Mets scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 44%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 36%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Astros defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Astros offense × Mets defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+5pp

7–9 Late

56%

+4pp

F5 first five

62%

+4pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 316Runs Allowed 337

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 321Runs Allowed 273

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	20% 14/71	27% 19/71	32% 23/71	32% 23/71	#334% 24/71	#134% 24/70	#234% 24/70	14% 10/70	29% 16/56	80% 4/5
Mets	RA	#141% 29/71	#232% 23/71	25% 18/71	25% 18/71	#331% 22/71	29% 20/70	21% 15/70	30% 21/70	20% 10/49	60% 3/5
Astros	R	#138% 27/72	18% 13/72	21% 15/72	#332% 23/72	25% 18/72	14% 10/72	28% 20/72	31% 22/72	#235% 19/54	55% 6/11
Astros	RA	17% 12/72	24% 17/72	24% 17/72	25% 18/72	#228% 20/72	25% 18/72	22% 16/72	#132% 23/72	#327% 16/60	73% 8/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.