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Final
2023-06-1807:15Petco Park
Rays
Away
0-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.3
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.2
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Padres defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Rays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
45%
-8pp
F5 first five
56%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games
0193959794718152252422935434463415463164125738228243794310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 411Runs Allowed 265

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games
0142842574531129352313833033443265342562827731388211191810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 293Runs Allowed 272
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RaysR#236% 26/7334% 25/7327% 20/73#141% 30/73#336% 26/7329% 21/7334% 25/7334% 25/7335% 16/46100% 3/3
RA21% 15/7321% 15/7321% 15/73#132% 23/73#325% 18/7321% 15/7325% 18/7322% 16/73#225% 15/6033% 1/3
PadresR#233% 23/6928% 19/69#329% 20/6929% 20/69#135% 24/6926% 18/6922% 15/6928% 19/6921% 11/5317% 1/6
RA26% 18/69#228% 19/69#328% 19/69#129% 20/6925% 17/6920% 14/6920% 14/6923% 16/6912% 7/58100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.